The Plausibility of Future Scenarios

Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research.

Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.

€47.00 * $55.00 *

22 July 2020, 264 pages
ISBN: 978-3-8376-5319-9

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Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele

Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele, Universität Stuttgart, Deutschland

Book title
The Plausibility of Future Scenarios Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning
Publisher
transcript Verlag
Pages
264
Features
kart., Dispersionsbindung, 1 Farbabbildung, 33 SW-Abbildungen
ISBN
978-3-8376-5319-9
DOI
10.14361/9783839453193
Commodity Group
1724
BIC-Code
PDR RNT
BISAC-Code
SOC026000 SCI075000 TEC052000
THEMA-Code
PDR RNT
Release date
22 July 2020
Edition
1
Topics
Gesellschaft, Wissenschaft
Readership
Sociology, Science and Technology Studies, Sustainability Sciences, Technology Assessment, Energy Systems Modelling, Futures Studies, Philosophy of Sciences, Cognitive Psychology, Interdisciplinary Research
Keywords/Tags
Scenario Planning, Scenarios, Foresight, Plausibility, Epistemology, Future Studies, Science, Society, Sociology of Science, Sociology of Technology, Environmental Sociology, Sustainability, Sociology

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